skip to main |
skip to sidebar
- Open link in new tab for candidates positions.
- Above...simple thought.
- Below, the effects of the Federal Reserve on the stock market this past few years. Operation Twist is currently scheduled to end in June.
- Do "gravity lessons" apply in this next round too? Who knows.
- For the curious old farts...gas prices in nominal and real terms since the 1970's.
- Above...is that how a normal stock behaves? Just asking.
- Interesting stats on the 1% vs the 99%.
- Below...a tad bit of a rush to judgement? Let's see how this plays out over the next 5 years. Remember how they hailed Greenspan and he left, it all blew up and then he was the "goat"?
- Yes, interest rates are rising recently. As they should, due to potential inflation and default risks in the future.
- But we are a long way away from Interest Armageddon.
- Long term historical average is probably around 7% to my eye.
- Interesting info regarding defense spending by country...
- Below, interesting SP500 chart...blue hashed boxes are QE periods...
- Spring is upon us! So, let's dust off all the global warming hype again!
- NASA predicts global cooling to rival the "Little Ice Age" of the 17th century as the latest temperature records confirm no warming since 1997.
- Global warming gone so soon??? Here's the article...Enjoy!
- Market has continued it's slow upward drift. Monitor and adjust your stops as necessary.
- Above...Exhibit A...or proof that drilling increases supply and then prices come down.
- Wouldn't it be nice to see lower gasoline prices, too?
- Drill!
- Below, interesting info...states could reduce prison populations and expenditures possibly by reviewing drug offense cases?
- Above, the solid line is the SP500 while the dotted line is the cost per gallon at the pump (less taxes) for gasoline. So....the question is...can you identify where the Federal Reserve is conducting QE by the impact on BOTH gas and stock prices??? OK...so your stock portfolio is going up...sure. But, so is the cost of gasoline, heating/cooling your home, food stuffs, and anything you buy from Walmart due to the increased cost of transportation.
- Uncertain? Watch this and maybe you'll understand.
- Do you get it??? There is no freaking free lunch. YOU ARE PAYING FOR THIS. We're being robbed by the Magicians....Never mind the left hand just focus on the right hand...How's that usually work out?
- Below...what should be BIG NEWS but no one is reporting on...America is actually in a new energy boom! Not the BS green energy movement that our government is pissing a ton of money down the pipes on. But, instead, a real live private exploration movement in natural gas and oil from shale resources across our great land.
- Fact is...in 5 or so years....the USA may become a net EXPORTER of energy than a consumer. Why isn't this being proclaimed on the news??? Could it be political agendas?
- For you to decide! Click to read more!
- As stated in 5 FEB post, the market has merely continued it's slow crawl upward against the Bollinger band. It has been amazing how long it has slowly crept upward.
- Picture above from Gann360 on Twitter, looks back at similar moves in the past few years and finds a day count of 50-56 days until at least a 3% correction. Yesterday was day 51. Would tend to indicate a correction is coming...only questions are when and how far and no one knows.
- Healthy markets need to breathe...it is atypical to just inhale without any exhale.
- Below, Federal Reserve action periods (QE) over the past 3 years.
- Handy reference on oil vs gasoline prices.
- Oh...and for those global warmers out there...the below pic demonstrates that the US, Europe and Japan have lowered their carbon footprint. Where are the headlines and applause for that?
- It only took one of the steepest economic contractions since the Great Depression! And many of you are probably, my guess, in the Occupy movement bitching about the condition of the economy...a tad hypocritical???
- Good luck getting China and India to comply with your wishes considering that they are 2.5 billion of the 7 billion on the planet.
- Cheap energy is what promotes job creation...not green energy.
- I have continuously said that there is one person who is the absolutely most pleased that Barack Obama was elected President. And that one person was Jimmy Carter since now he knows he won't go down in history as the President with the worst approval ratings.
- Speaking of boobs..."15 things you should know about breasts".
- Facts can be an annoyingly difficult thing to overcome.
- And yet, the most frustrating thing....there appears to be no one from the GOP or Independents that will be able to garner sufficient support to unseat him....my guess.
- To those that are making the claim that the 1% are the sole part of the problem in the US now, isn't it more likely that they're just part of the problem?
- Judging from the chart above, I'd say that is a fair statement.
- Our tax system is completely broken. It must be replaced. All should have some "skin in the game".
- Another week of slow upward drift in markets. The higher it goes without some corrective action, the more likely a correction is coming...just the way my mind works. Defense is my leaning.
- Above, Ned Davis Research Sentiment Composite for review...reference the statistics boxes in the upper frame for how the market does under the different circumstances.
- Just a reminder, 3 years and still no budget for the US! Thanks Senator Reid...How's about pay for performance??? Whot crop!
- And below, the key to being happy is not necessarily what you think!
- As a follow on to the previous post and for the uninitiated regarding HFT (High Frequency Trading).
- Above display has the date in the bottom left corner. The date scrolls forward one day at a time, from 2007 to present, and you'll see the activity level of the HFT Robots in the past few years.
- It should frighten most people. Yet, most are completely unaware. Ahhh, ignorance is bliss I suppose. Yet, the average investor continues to wonder why they keep getting boot-stomped!
- This is not your father's stock market.
- For you average investors, I only bring this up to show you what you are up against...a brutal machine more interested in taking your dollar than allowing you to increase the value of it for yourself.
- For the experienced traders, it sure has become interesting hasn't it? Swift adaptability has become exceedingly crucial. We will adapt. We will survive.
- You can read more here on "Skynet becoming self-aware".
- Below is a reminder of the market psychology curve of the average investor. Where are we now? And of course, with the European Central Bank's LTRO (pumped by our Federal Reserve and the recent dollar swaps), maybe this moon shot can continue. However, the market psychology model should be kept in mind. POMO history review.... here.
- Good luck!
- Oh...and by the way, North Dakota oil production just keeps banging it outta the park!
- Admittedly, entries have been spotty.
- Have lost some zeal for regular postings especially after I got caught up in that MF Global collapse October 31st. Where is the investigation and accountability???
- That and the stock market appears more rigged than ever. It seems that you just have to know when the central banks throw the money switch on and off. If you're in the "club" with Da Boyz, you get that information early which allows you to build your position for the ride up (which is accomplished in the low volume after hours futures markets). Next you hear when the money switch will be turned off, so you sell your holdings to the little people who are just screaming to buy everything since they're missing the move. Once that's accomplished, the money switch is turned off and with no more juice to prop it up, the market does a very fast (10 days) down move of 15-20%. Go ahead, check MAY 2011 and JUL 2012. Then Da Boyz step up and buy from the frightened little people who got trapped again and just want out. Da Boyz finish building the fear through a few months of a gut wrenching wide range with high volatility so they can buy / build up their positions again. Just in time for....you guessed it...the money switch to be turned on by the central banks and Da Boyz enjoy the ride up while the little people got cleaned out again.
- Lather, rinse, repeat!
- Too bad you're not in the "club". You never will be. Afterall, they need someone to sell their stuff to when the time is right and someone to buy from when the time is right.
- Be careful, it's brutal out there due to these long levitations on vapors followed by vicious cracks.
- Overall, as I've said in many of my posts over the past 3 years, the 90MA (green line) has been a pretty good guide for folks on a longer timeframe.
- Above all MA's and approaching last summers highs in a seemingly overbought condition...possible resistance...we'll see.
- Overbought on the daily (including breadth measures) but it's crawling the upper bollinger bands. Market has done this numerous times for extended periods over the past few years as the central banks keep injecting liquidity.
- Weekly view appears to allow for more up which might confirm the continued crawl at the daily level.
- So, my thoughts (and I am not a registered financial advisor thus you must think and decide for yourself)...Definitely, not a position for new purchases. Management time...choices are; 1) take profits or 2) take some profits and tighten stops or 3) let it ride and tighten stops or, of course, some foolish folks will opt for 4) buy, buy, buy!
- Some interesting information regarding the "January Effect".
- Low carbohydrate diets are the only way to go!
- Just a monthly seasonality chart...to go along with the overbought market.
- Below, youth unemployment in Europe. Horrific! I hope they can turn things around soon.
- Interesting graph above from Gluskin Sheff.
- The thing that stands out is when the chart goes negative, that was when the bear markets of 2000 and 2007 began.
- Could be coincidental as there are two few instances to draw a true conclusion from...but certainly interesting.
- Hidden benefits of capitalism...in China and elsewhere.
- A new year, a fresh start...figure out what is important to you and get to it!
- Good luck and best wishes for your great year ahead!
- Info on New Year's resolutions below...
