OCTOBER 2015

15th ==

 

• Moment of truth not far away.

12th ==

 

• Busted channel line and 50 week MA as possible resistance.

 

• Extreme NYMO highs followed by lower SP lows?

5th ==

Not a sign of recovery after 6 yrs...Never before happened...ever!  Negative interest rates next?

SEPTEMBER 2015

24th ==

Looking pretty similar so far...

AUGUST 2015

31st ==

• First monthly close below the 12 SMA since 2011.
• But the long term mid-channel trendline is involved.
• Always interesting.

• Aren't there bigger concerns like Social Security and Medicare viability.  Hard to take someone seriously when they insist that the "biggest threat to America is the weather".

25th ==

• Risk happens fast!
• A bit overdone.  Can't even say whether that was the momentum low yet...let alone the price low.
• Shouldn't be in any rush here as we're below the 50 week MA and volatility is scorching.
• Waiting for market dust to settle some.  Fear and volatility measures very high (below).  It will probably be very whippy if 2011 is any comparison as MA's catch up.  We'll see.
• Glad I was out.  Hope you didn't get hurt.  Patience here.

16th ==

Just a brief youtube that I saw on Mrs. Clinton...not gonna ruin a perfectly good weekend looking for more.  Besides, the whole server thing will entertain us in the months to come.  You know it's real when the Dem side is scrambling to repackage Biden and Gore.  Come on!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbnKGopT0Uc


11th ==

5th ==

If history is any guide....not a low risk environment by this measure.  SP500 currently in its tightest six month range since 1950.  It can pop up or down...dunno!  But, it's storing energy for a move.

Ms. Market is always so darned alluring...

JULY 2015

17th ==

Uggh...
http://twitter.com/sentimentrader/status/622119090308542464/photo/1

Record haul on taxes...and some candidates propose still more tax increases?  Will there ever be enough to satiate Washington's largesse?

12th ==

And, just like that....Glo-bull warming is over?  The new Ice Age drumbeat begins.  Headline..."Scientists stunned to learn that the Sun is what heats the Earth".  LOL  Now, the press will start telling us that we should "Be afraid.  Be very afraid!"  Where's Al Gore and his Glo-bull warming buddies?  They'll save us!  Will President Obama keep claiming that global warming is our nation's biggest threat?

OMG...I can't wait for scientists to call for man to produce more CO2 as "The" cure.  I'm already doing my part...I plan to breathe real heavy and fart a lot, too.  Join me and rally for "Toot to save the planet!"

What a crock.  

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/jul/12/mini-ice-age-likely-from-2030-to-2040-european-sci/

7th ==

Going back to bed...LOL

• Off topic...'cuz what's the day without a stupid global warming story.  Don't like the temperature history data?  Revise it!  No joke...how do people take this seriously?
• "I believe she has potential!"....

JUNE 2015

30th ==

28th ==

• Global warming..."Naah, it can't be from changes in the Sun's Climate!"

9th ==

This didn't end well last time...

• On a positive note...

8th ==

• Good thing is that the numbers are at lows.
• Cyclically speaking, the numbers are at lows.  Sobering.

MAY 2015

31st ==

• Global warming precedes global cooling...and around and around we go!

25th ==

• Fight or flight?  Good discussion!  
• Generally, there is no such thing as an "overreaction" to a situation.  Whenever something seems like an overreaction, it means that we are reacting to something in the past on top of what's happening in the present.  The extreme of this situation is traumatic stress, in which painful experiences in the past intrude in our perceptions of safety in the here and now.  

20th ==

• This has been a long up run.  However, a monthly MACD cross indicates that we've probably (not definitely) entered a higher risk area of this market run.  
• Carefully choose how you want to participate from this point forward.

16th ==

15th ==

10th ==

5th ==

APRIL 2015

30 APR ==

22 APR ==

Not been much to say in sideways range.

However, I did want to save this as we approach the 5yr anniversary of the Flash Crash and they recently accused a single trader with responsibility for it.  What a joke.

MARCH 2015

16th ==
***Option Expiration Week statistics

14th ==

13th ==

12th ==

7th ==
***Conflict of interest?

***...and this is why it won't work in the long run.

***Below daily 20MA, short term down.  Above 50MA, intermediate term up....sideways.

***Historical SP500 Bull Markets

6th ==
***AAPL add to DJIA
***She's concerned. Him, too.
***Calm before storm. Or, don't trade around reports.
***10 month MA vs SP500

***Here you can compare vs 12 month MA and other stats.

2nd ==

***Inflation Measures from dShort.com

1st ==

***Been a long while.  had some family issues last fall and it took the wind out of me.  But, haven't missed much since then.  Market is up 5% since but there have been multiple volatile big up and down moves between then and now.
***Anyway, thinking of picking up here again.  Will be in different format since I'm not anticipating daily posts.
***Will post the day of the month (ie, 1st above) and anything I want under an overall monthly post such as (MARCH 2015).  I'll just update under the monthly post by adding a new date and info as necessary.
***Should help me to find my info more easily.
***Monthly Seasonality
   

***US 10yr T-Note yield history