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- Above, things that continue to make me go, "Hmm."
- Great chartist and the link to his sight is contained in the graphic.
- Been a long time since we touched the 200 day moving average.
- Chart above shows similar stretches in days over the past.
- For comparisons:
- Interesting Trading stats for future reference.
- For those that follow fundamentals...a good representation of the general business cycle.
- Overall, it's reasonable.
- I wonder how it is being affected by the manipulations of the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing.
- Currently, we seem to be somewhere in the Stage 4 (approaching Stage 5 phase)???
- Trendlines and sentiment readings from previous post are still in play. It's been a slow upward grind which is always a challenging environment.
- Time will tell.
- Interesting...stock market has big moves after inflationary periods and major wars...about 4 years after.
- Hat tip to Pug Sma (address on chart)...some of his projections are drawn.
- Back up at that upper channel line that has contained the entire upmove since 2009. It has been solid resistance in the past...
- Now to see if it still is!
- Government Shutdown Day!!!
- Market's been slowly leaking downward supposedly over the fear of this day. My guess is that they do a Continuing Resolution and the market gets a brief rally until it realizes that the October 17th Debt Limit is fast approaching. This is all complete nonsense. Oh well.
- Leaning to the short side on any rallies which fail short of new highs.
- Looking for the August lows to be taken out and the June lows to be challenged.
- Presidential Cycle below.
- Interesting...above...the monthly payment (less property tax) for various loans at various mortgage rates.
- Thinking the recent SP500 bounce may be reaching it's end. Looking for SP500 1570-1540.
- Where the heck does it all go?
- And what bank would allow overdraft checking on this account???
- Seems like it's getting time for Wall Street to begin off-loading their stocks to the retail investors again in preparation for the next bear market.
- Tops are a process....since it takes Da Boyz time to offload without causing major damage to the prices they want. So, it will be a volatile next 6 months with probably four roughly 10% moves (down, up, down, up...soooo, basically sideways overall...then the 18 month Bear for down 35%(?)).
- The first down move is very soon...nobody knows where it starts from...1700, 1730?
- Of course, their is a chance that the market just goes parabolic to the upside like it did in the 1990's. However, I think that is a much lower probability since we don't have an economy to support it.
- Start deciding what you want to do now!
- DO NOT PLAY THEIR GAME!
- DO NOT GET CAUGHT AGAIN!!!
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- Sure...the US doesn't pay as much for gas per gallon but we spend a much greater percentage of our income on gasoline.
- The age of ever lower interest rates is more than likely over.
- Hat tip to the author (website on chart).
- Sooo...the retiree's were screwed with ultra low interest rates for the past few years. Many may have stretched their time frame out on the yield curve for the higher rates.
- Unfortunately they'll now learn the hard way, about the inverse relationship between bond funds and interest rates.
- As interest rates go up, the value of bond funds go down. OUCH!
- Grandparents Rules...'Nuff said!
- Whoa! Sure is nice to know that our politicians and our wealthy won't be struggling to keep their farms afloat...isn't it?
- It's gotta be great when you can write laws that automatically send extra income your way!
- Even better when you don't even have to fulfill the responsibilities of your job and you still get paid!
- CON-gress...'Nuff said.
- Correlation does not necessarily equal causation but the above graph is interesting. Who's juicing this stock market the past few years when the economy is not? And, if the FED's operations are the only thing propping everything up, what exactly happens when the FED stops?
- And, who do you think will know first about when it stops so they can take appropriate protective measures...Da Boyz or you?
- Interesting and historical times.
- The FED's activities have distorted almost all markets to the point where true valuation and price discovery mechanisms are breaking down and just leave you scratching your head. One market...OK...I could understand one market getting temporarily dislocated. But, all the majors are convoluted...stocks, bonds, dollar, oil, gold. Price signals have been crushed. What do you trust? Or perhaps we're in a large transition moment for each of those markets at the same time. Will have to watch...one day at a time.
- Good read for more thoughts...5 Questions that Every Bull Market Should Answer
- The market is going up in any way you look at it. Currently, it seems like it only inhales and never exhales.
- Is the market going to correct soon or go parabolic? Will only know in hindsight...one day at a time.
- Since this Bull run began in MAR 2009, this has been the longest run of days without so much as a 5% correction. Would be nice to see a little bit of a healthy breather for a while to allow it to reset.
- A little historical perspective. Again, it's still going up at this time.
- Tops take time...but above shows some interesting history.
- Good read...The Market With and Without QE
- Dow Jones Industrial Average had a whole bunch of these relatively equal tops from 1965-1983.
- Super graphic, above, on where your tax dollars go.
- Just an interest rate chart update.
- Ben Bernanke as a child...he was such a happy young fella!
